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Investing Nov 2, 2026

S&P 500 Is Up '19 For 19 Times' In Midterm November-April Window, According To Ryan Detrick - State Stree

The S&P 500 has demonstrated a remarkable level of consistency during the six-month window that follows midterm elections. According to Ryan Detrick, who serves as the chief market strategist at Carson Investment Research, the benchmark index has increased in value during every November-to-April period following a midterm vote since 1950. This historical trend encompasses 19 separate midterm cycles, and in every single instance, the market has ended the period higher than where it began. This 100 percent success rate highlights a specific seasonal pattern that investors often monitor as political cycles shift in the United States.

Nineteen for Nineteen WIN Rate

Detrick provided this analysis on the social media platform X, explaining that while the upcoming six months are traditionally the most

Source: benzinga.com · 2026-11-02

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